simulate a generalization of the buffer-stock consumption model with longterm revolving debt contracts. In line with US credit …

the period 1980q1-2011q4. That is, income is more often found to predict consumption and saving than the converse. Our … consumption and by exploring the direction of Granger causality between the two series. We also give evidence that house price … changes played a role in the US income and consumption dynamics, before, during and after the Great Recession. …

the period 1980q1-2011q4. That is, income is more often found to predict consumption and saving than the converse. Our … consumption and by exploring the direction of Granger causality between the two series. We also give evidence that house price … changes played a role in the US income and consumption dynamics, before, during and after the Great Recession. …

saving motive by eliciting subjective expectations on future consumption. We find that expected consumption risk is higher … expectations (rather than consumption realizations, as in the existing literature) in an Euler equation for consumption, and … estimate the degree of prudence by associating expected consumption risk with expected consumption growth. Robust OLS and IV …