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This paper presents an empirical analysis investigating the relationship between the futures trading activities of speculators and hedgers and the potential movements of major spot exchange rates. A set of trader position measures are employed as regression predictors, including the level and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086080
rates EUR/GRD and EUR/ITL during the euro zone membership period. Leaving the euro area one can expect the following market … rates: EUR/GRD 600 and EUR/ITL 1850. That would mean 75% depreciation and 5% appreciation to the current euro parities EUR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166669
correlations. We then apply the correlation forecasts to two policyrelevant topics, to produce scenario analyses for the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318724
This paper examines the integration of stock markets in Germany, France, Netherlands, Ireland and UK over the January 1973- August 2008 period at the aggregate market and industry level considering the following industries: basic materials, consumer goods, industrials, consumer services, health...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387022
This paper examines financial spillovers between the four largest equity markets (by market capitalization) in the GCC region using a VAR-GARCH (1,1) framework that sheds light on interdependence as well as the effects of the 2014 oil crisis. Since the UAE is a federation including two stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026436
The aim of this study is to investigate the determinants of integration between stock market of Romania and other stock markets of European Union (EU) countries. Correlations between the stock returns represent the level of integration between the stock markets. Empirical analysis are performed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011842988
An examination of Brexit and its initial impact on the main stock markets in the Greater China Region (GCR) was conducted using augmented market models that integrate Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) and implied volatility (VIX). The results do not seem to align with research in the field that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011883261
We explore the impact of mortgage securitization on the international diversification of macroeconomic risk. By making mortgage-related risks internationally tradeable, securitization contributes considerably to better international consumption risk sharing: we find that countries with the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003806732
Given the dominant role the U.S. economy plays in global trade, we explore how U.S. macroeconomic surprises affect stock markets in ten major developed economies as well as in China and India. We do not find strong enough evidence to conclude that US macro shocks materially and consistently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082200
This paper analyzes the existence of flights from stocks to bonds and vice versa. We propose a definition and a test for flight-to-quality, flight-from-quality and cross-asset contagion and examine their characteristics and effects for the financial system. The empirical analysis for eight...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721677