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The confluence of three trends in the U.S. residential housing market - rising home prices, declining interest rates, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities - led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system. Individually, each of these trends is benign, but when they occur...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003889053
credit spreads during 2002-2012: a liquidity regime and a default regime. Both regimes contribute to the patterns observed in … credit spreads. The liquidity regime seems to explain the predictive power of credit risk on the 2007-2009 NBER recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077480
Arbitrage and liquidity are interrelated. Liquidity facilitates arbitrageurs’ trading on deviations from the law of one … price. However, whether arbitrage opportunity leads to an increase or decrease in liquidity depends on the cause of the … deviation. A demand shock leads to greater liquidity, while asymmetric information is toxic to liquidity. We examine how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284282
The paper examines three equity-based structural models to study the nonlinear relationship between equity and credit default swap (CDS) prices. These models differ in the specification of the default barrier. With cross-firm CDS premia and equity information, we are able to estimate and compare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641322
We investigate the problem of modeling defaults of dependent credits. In the framework of the class of structural default models we study threshold models where for each credit the underling ability-to-pay process is a transformation of a Wiener processes. We propose a model for dependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003853455
We propose a model of correlated multi-firm default with incomplete information. While public bond investors observe issuers' assets and defaults, we suppose that they are not informed about the threshold asset level at which a firm is liquidated. Bond investors form instead a prior on these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621426
Commodity derivatives were introduced in India with a dual purpose of promoting price discovery and enhancing risk management in the commodities market. A transaction tax (of 0.01 per cent) on commodity futures trading was introduced in the Union Budget 2013-14. This study examines the rationale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354169
We show that liquidity risk is priced in the cross section of returns on credit default swaps (CDSs). We measure CDS … constituents' CDS spreads, and we construct a tradable liquidity factor from returns on index arbitrage strategies. CDS contracts … with higher liquidity exposures have higher expected excess returns for sellers of credit protection and trade with wider …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010258589