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This paper studies the dynamics of Mexican inflation by using a wavelet multiresolution analysis on 16 indexes of the Mexican Consumer Price Index. This enables us to estimate the long-term trend, seasonality, and local shocks of the inflation series, even when the series are non-stationary. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003875308
Estimation of the volatility of time series has taken off since the introduction of the GARCH and stochastic volatility models. While variants of the GARCH model are applied in scores of articles, use of the stochastic volatility model is less widespread. In this articleit is argued that one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386121
Time-varying volatility is common in macroeconomic data and has been incorporated into macroeconomic models in recent work. Dynamic panel data models have become increasingly popular in macroeconomics to study common relationships across countries or regions. This paper estimates dynamic panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650493
This research identifies the presence of long memory given return series of the stock markets in the ASEAN-4 countries, namely, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand. Daily stock prices from 1994 to 2004, which were neither adjusted for dividends nor inflation, were employed in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779443
Even casual observation reveals obvious spatial patterns in labor-market outcomes and policies across the developed democracies, and within the European Union particularly. Labor-market policies entail significant cross-border spillovers, so strategic interdependence among developed democracies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014216459
This paper presents a methodology which blends sensitivity analysis and fuzzy arithmetic for managing uncertainty in project financing transactions. Specifically, we adopt the perspective of the equityholders and use the average Return On Equity (ROE) to measure shareholder value creation and,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403889
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110894
The dynamics of hourly electricity prices in day-ahead markets is an important element of competitive power markets that were only established in the last decade. In electricity markets, the market microstructure does not allow for continuous trading, since operators require advance notice in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952964
We argue that Islamic principles, in particular the avoidance of ribā and gharar should be applied with respect to real economic value rather than to monetary value in terms of conventional currency. In order to reconcile monetary value with economic value, we propose a reference currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102582
The Ohlson (1995) equity valuation and returns models are consistent with mathematical formulation. Since value relevance models that relate Ohlson (1995) focus on information dynamics of accounting and other information for explaining equity value, an inconsistency between Ohlson's (1995)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159051