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The paper analyzes the dynamic effects of a total factor productivity shock and an interest rate risk premium shock in … bargaining are introduced. We find that a negative total factor productivity shock primarily has effects on the economy … significantly reduces the initial response of the unemployment rate. In case of a temporary productivity shock, sticky wages imply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153857
the economy's steady state, an exogenous monetary policy shock affects the fiscal block mainly through the interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382792
This paper explores the effect of news shocks on the current account and other macroeconomic variables using worldwide giant oil discoveries as a directly observable measure of news shocks about future output - the delay between a discovery and production is on average 4 to 6 years. We first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011202
A growing body of empirical evidence suggests that a positive technology shock leads to a temporary decline in … sufficiently strong, a technology shock also has a negative effect on output in the short run. -- Open economy macroeconomics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003939709
This is the first paper in the DSGE literature to match key business cycle moments and long-run equity returns in a small open economy with production. These results are achieved by introducing four modifications to a standard real business cycle model: (1) borrowing and lending costs are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092427
Long-term interest rates of small open economies correlate strongly with the US long-term rate. Can central banks in those countries decouple from the US? An estimated DSGE model for the UK (vis-`a-vis the US) establishes three structural empirical results. (1) Comovement arises due to nominal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011887034
This paper analyzes the dynamics of risk premia, real exchange rates and portfolio movements in a two-country, two-good, two-bond model. We use an asymmetric set-up in the model, where one of the countries is emerging and the other one is developed and both countries issue bonds in domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036543
This paper studies the role of the financial sector in affecting domestic resource allocation and cross-border capital flows. I develop a quantitative, two-country, macroeconomic model in which banks face endogenous and occasionally binding leverage constraints. Banks lend funds to be invested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975295
We sketch a model that shows how skill-biased technological change may reverse the classic Balassa-Samuelson effect, leading to a negative relationship between the productivity in the tradable sector and the real exchange rate. In a small open economy, export goods are produced with capital,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009565836
Empirical evidence demonstrates that credit standards, including lending margins and collateral requirements, move in a countercyclical direction. In this study, we construct a small open economy model with financial frictions to generate the countercyclical movement in credit standards. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800343