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We use earnings forecasts from a cross-sectional model to proxy for cash flow expectations and estimate the implied cost of capital (ICC) for a large sample of firms over 1968-2008. The earnings forecasts generated by the cross-sectional model are superior to analysts' forecasts in terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133861
We propose several econometric measures of connectedness based on principal-components analysis and Granger-causality networks, and apply them to the monthly returns of hedge funds, banks, broker/dealers, and insurance companies. We find that all four sectors have become highly interrelated over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113470
This paper investigates the birth of commodity trading advisors (CTAs) and their flow–performance relation. Specifically, we address three questions. First, we investigate the impact of existing CTAs' performance on the number of new CTAs entering the market. Second, we investigate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114111
Since Shalit and Yitzhalit (1984) the Mean-Extended Gini (MEG) has been proposed as a workable alternative to the classical Markowitz mean-variance CAPM. Although MEG keeps under control the risk belonging to the left-tail of the return distribution, small attention is reserved to potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114628
Bid and ask prices tailored to the traders' risk-aversion and gain-propension are defined. Risk and gain premia are given by the Extended Gini indices, where the characteristic parameter captures the traders' perception of the under-performance and over-performance of the asset. Sufficient and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114629
We evaluate the influence of measurement error in analysts' forecasts on the accuracy of implied cost of capital estimates from various implementations of the ‘implied cost of capital' approach, and develop corrections for the measurement error. We document predictable error in the implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114798
Empirical evidence indicates that trades by institutional investors have sizable effects on asset prices, generating phenomena such as index effects, asset-class effects and others. It is difficult to explain such phenomena within standard representative-agent asset pricing models. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116286
Since Shalit and Yitzhaki (1984) the premium principle based on the Extended Gini of an uncertain position has been defined as its expected value minus the extended Gini index. We propose this principle for making capital asset pricing tailored to the investor profile. Bid and ask prices of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116679
We correlate analysts' forecast errors with temporal variation in investor sentiment. We find that when sentiment is high, analysts' forecasts of one-year-ahead earnings and long-term earnings growth are relatively more optimistic for “uncertain” or “difficult to value” firms. Adding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116864
This article proposes an empirically tractable way to incorporate intra-day noise into a VWAP trading rule. In volatile markets, news arrives unexpectedly and rapidly. This should influence a trader's trading decisions. However, the literature has not incorporated such information into an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117086