Is the current labor market as tight as official statistics would seem to indicate? If incumbent workers increase their hours of work, it is irrelevant to the unemployment rate, but hardly irrelevant to the level of labor supply. The authors of this brief find that job insecurity and stagnating...

Is the current labor market as tight as official statistics would seem to indicate? If incumbent workers increase their hours of work, it is irrelevant to the unemployment rate, but hardly irrelevant to the level of labor supply. Bluestone and Rose find that job insecurity and stagnating wages...

This paper is organized in three parts. First, we present the logic and original evidence for Phillips Curve and NAIRU. We show that the sources of increased labor supply during the past two expansions have shifted significantly compared with the experience of the 1970's business cycle. The...