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behavior of macroeconomic fundamentals. Economic and probabilistic arguments are offered for such a relationship. Empirical … support is given by testing against normality and through investigating the tail shapes of the fundamentals' distributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349716
mechanism in foreign exchange markets. We analyze the role of expectations regarding macroeconomic fundamentals for expected … expectations regarding GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, and current accounts. Our empirical findings show that fundamentals … attention to expected fundamentals. Finally, we also observe that incorporating expected fundamentals tends to reduce forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012990178
mechanism in foreign exchange markets. Therefore, we analyze the role of expectations regarding macroeconomic fundamentals for … fundamentals, which is not fully consistent with traditional fundamentals models. We especially highlight the relevance of the PPP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012435503
Although the effects of economic news announcements on asset prices are well established, theserelationships are unlikely to be stable. This paper documents the time variation in the responses of yield curves and exchange rates using high-frequency data from January 2000 through August 2011....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009787494
The paper aims to investigate the possible dual causality between exchange rates and stock indices of China and ASEAN using Structural Vector Auto-Regressive Model (SVAR). The paper has analysed the dynamic relationships between the Yuan and the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Stock Index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012024028
We develop a general equilibrium model with intermediaries at the heart of international financial markets. Global intermediaries bargain with households and extract rents for providing access to foreign claims. The behavior of intermediaries, by tilting state prices, breaks monetary neutrality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877302
This paper investigates the effect of inflation volatility on private sector credit growth. The results indicate that private sector credit growth is positively linked to the one period lagged inflation volatility. Given that past monetary policy actions continue to affect the targeted variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853882
We build a two-country model with imperfect financial intermediation. Banks face limits to arbitrage which lead to positive excess returns in the investment markets and a risk premium in the international credit market. Gross capital flows affect the exchange rate since banks are balance sheet...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011742713
This paper presents new stylized facts about exchange rates and their relationship with macroeconomic fundamentals. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429208
Exchange rate movements affect the economy through changes in net exports, i.e. the trade channel, and through valuation changes in assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currencies, i.e. the financial channel. In this paper, I investigate the macroeconomic and financial effects of U.S....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013390993