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I establish that inflation risk is priced in the cross section of stock returns: Stocks that have low returns during … inflationary times command a risk premium. I estimate a market price of inflation risk that is comparable in magnitude to the price … of risk for the aggregate market. Inflation is therefore a key determinant of risk in the cross section of stocks. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752802
We study investors' perceptions of inflation through the lens of a high-frequency event study and document that they … have a stagflationary view of the world. In response to higher-than-expected inflation, investors expect firms' nominal … even decline, with increases in nominal yields offset by larger increases in inflation expectations. Consistent with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014632362
We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of … historically high inflation. Investors' beliefs about the stock return-inflation relation are very heterogeneous in the cross … section and on average too optimistic. Moreover, many investors appear unaware of inflation-hedging strategies despite being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544748
I provide empirical evidence indicating that inflation risk is time-varying and priced in the cross-section of … individual stocks in the U.S. and UK equity markets. I establish that the way inflation risk is priced in equity markets is … closely related to the cyclicality of inflation. I show that the market price of inflation shocks is positive (negative) in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044462
We examine the impact of expected inflation on stock returns. We use inflation forecasts from the Focus survey and real … $ percentage point in expected inflation for the next 12 months is associated with a decline of $ 0.57 $ percentage points in stock … based on changes in inflation expectations from 2003 to 2016 has cumulated real returns of $ 135 $ percent while cumulated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919197
U.S. stocks' response to inflation surprises is, on average, robustly negative. Stocks' response to positive inflation … surprises shows much more pronounced time-series variability than their response to negative inflation surprises. In our sample …, stocks react significantly to positive inflation surprises only when there is a contemporaneous change in monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236131
The bedrock of financial economics is that there should be a tradeoff between risk and reward: an investment with low risk should have a low expected return, while one that could make you rich should also be one which could lose you a lot of money. A lot of research in finance is focused on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405178
The present study investigate the relationship between sensex returns and Indian-USD Exchange rates and the impact of the time series on each other. Exchange rate fluctuation will effect international trades, thus influence the stock market. The study is based on the secondary sources obtained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010435
Using daily inflation data from the Billion Prices Project [Cavallo and Rigobon (2016)], we show how temporal … private agents and the central bank (the “Fed information effect”). We find that the adverse response of daily inflation to … and an unobserved components model of inflation dynamics. To reconcile how one can obtain a sizable adverse response with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077279
The cost of the FED maintaining a low target level of inflation is measured by Lucas (2000) and Ireland (2009) as the … welfare cost of inflation based on money demand. Their estimates require stability of the money demand function. Ireland finds … inflation to the post-Volcker period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964751