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This paper presents a framework in which many structural credit risk models can be made hybrid by randomizing the default trigger, while keeping the capital structure intact. This produces random recovery rates negatively correlated with the default probability. The approach is implemented on a...
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Security prices are important inputs for estimating credit risk. Yet, to obtain an accurate firm-specific credit risk assessment, one needs a reliable model and a methodology that filters the elements unrelated to the firm's fundamentals from market prices.In this article, we introduce a hybrid...
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Variable annuities are investment vehicles offered by insurance companies that combine a life insurance policy with long-term financial guarantees. These guarantees expose the insurer to market risks, such as volatility and interest rate risks, which can only be managed with a hedging strategy....
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In the seismological and geophysics literature, it is suggested by numerous authors that the elapsed time between two earthquakes at a given location should be represented by either an exponential or Weibull distribution. In addition, the seismic gap hypothesis states that large waiting times...
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This paper presents a firm-specific methodology for extracting implied default intensities and recovery rates jointly from unit recovery claim prices---backed by out-of-the-money put options---and credit default swap premiums, therefore providing time-varying and market-consistent views of...
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