We find substantial regional variations in CMBS loan default rates based on a 10-year history of nearly 38,000 CMBS loans. We seek to explain those variations with well documented risk factors such as negative equity, insolvency, property type, originator and state foreclosure law, as well as...

We expand on the standard commercial mortgage default model and create a new model by looking beyond the usual factors of option value, insolvency, property type, region, originator type, state foreclosure laws and macroeconomic measures. The new model incorporates measures of local economic...

Subordination is designed to provide credit risk protection for senior commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) tranches by allocating the initial credit losses to the more junior tranches. Subordination level should in theory reflect the underlying credit risk of the CMBS pool. In this...

Option theory predicts that mortgage default or prepayment will be exercised if the call or put option is quot;in the money.quot; We extend our analysis to commercial mortgages using data from commercial mortgage-backed securities. The paper presents a model of the competing risks of mortgage...