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How do investors react to the issuance of common sovereign debt? This question is particularly relevant regarding the European sovereign debt crisis. The paper empirically studies the issuance of common debt during Italy's unification. Based on an original database of Italian bonds, this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975355
The wave of sovereign defaults in the early 1980s and the string of debt crises in the decades that followed have fostered proposals involving policy interventions in sovereign debt restructurings. A key question about these proposals that has proved hard to handle is how they in influence the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012139015
extensions upon restructurings: income recovery after default, credit exclusion after restructuring, and regulatory costs of book …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011911551
productivity. A quantitative model of news and sovereign debt default with endogenous maturity choice generates impulse responses …-term debt does not shield the country from bad news shocks, and it may even exacerbate default risk. Finally, an increase in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011950496
foreign-currency government bonds traded in London and New York between 1815 (the Battle of Waterloo) and 2016, covering 91 … to compensate for risk. Real ex-post returns averaged 7% annually across two centuries, including default episodes, major … and with the degree of credit risk in this market, as measured by historical default and recovery rates. Based on our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159952
China’s lending boom to developing countries is morphing into defaults and debt distress. Given the secrecy surrounding China’s loans, also the associated defaults remain “hidden”, as missed payments and restructuring details are not disclosed. We construct an encompassing dataset of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012807855
Using the records of several leading 19th century issuing houses, this paper analyses the transformation of underwriting practices in London's primary sovereign bond market from 1870 to 1914. It shows how underwriting risk developed from being a liability, which market intermediaries sought to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010358271
Contingent sovereign debt has the potential to create important welfare gains – but actual issuance is rare. Using hand-collected archival data, we examine the first known case of large-scale issuance of contingent sovereign debt in history. Philip II of Spain entered into hundreds of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014180396
Philip II of Spain accumulated debts equivalent to 60% of GDP. He also defaulted four times on his short-term loans, thus becoming the first serial defaulter in history. Contrary to a common view in the literature, we show that lending to the king was profitable even under worst-case scenario...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137652
accumulated towering debts while stopping all payments to his lenders four times. How could the sovereign borrow much and default …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116884