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We provide an overview of recent empirical research on patterns of cross-country growth. The new empirical regularities considered differ from earlier ones, e.g., the well-known Kaldor stylized facts. The new research no longer makes production function accounting a central part of the analysis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024246
Several formal methods have been proposed to check identification in DSGE models via (i) the autocovariogram (Iskrev 2010), (ii) the spectral density (Komunjer and Ng 2011; Qu and Tkachenko 2012), or (iii) Bayesian indicators (Koop et al 2012). Even though all methods seem similar, there has been no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490635
Academic macroeconomics and the research department of central banks have come to be dominated by Dynamic, Stochastic, General Equilibrium (DSGE) models based on micro-foundations of optimising representative agents with rational expectations. We argue that the dominance of this particular sort...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125067
The Cyprus crisis is one of the most complex in the Eurozone - although in absolute terms it is a minor crisis. An analysis of the ongoing developments from different perspectives leads to the conclusion that we are witnessing a perfect storm of a financial crisis at the confluence of sovereign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085198
Compared with identification of monetary policy shocks, Identification of fiscal policies shocks are equally important, but there are insufficient in related research of China. Therefore, the paper chooses Sign Restriction to identify fiscal policies shocks of China. After we discuss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026675
In this paper, a New-Keynesian DSGE model for a small open economy integrated in a monetary union is developed and estimated for the Portuguese economy, using a Bayesian approach. Estimates for some key structural parameters are obtained and a set of exercises exploring the model's statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149135
For over 40 years theorists have sought the effects of tax audits on voluntary compliance rates by studying individual taxpayer motivations. Yet no single theory has produced a taxpayer incentive model that both comports with experience and explains the effects of audits on compliance. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014144352
The decision making process, regardless of the environment in which it functions, depends, first of all, on the information used. Information quality is given by two characteristics: information representativeness, and its capacity to capture the variety of objective reality. These two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014053660
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110732
We analyze the dynamics of Chinese comparative advantage as measured by export shares and the Balassa index using 3-digit and 4-digit sectors for the period 1970 – 1997. We use novel tools to identify periods of rapid structural change and the persistence of comparative advantage, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334830