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fundamentals-based or pure contagion. To do so, we examine the behaviour of EMU sovereign bond yield spreads with respect to the … contagion) and episodes of significantly reduced interconnection (which we associate with immunisation). We then use an ordered … variables proxying market sentiment and of variables proxying macrofundamentals in determining contagion and immunisation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054304
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646024
This paper analyzes sovereign risk contagion in the Eurozone using an extension to the canonical model for contagion … contagion in typically bounded time intervals. Controlling for changes in the risk pricing by investors, we detect several … channels of pure contagion between 2008 and 2012. Further, we find that the bailout-programs for Greece, Ireland and Portugal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222446
eliminating equilibrium multiplicity, has largely stopped contagion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870566
We analyse volatility spillovers in EMU sovereign bond markets. First, we examine the unconditional patterns during the full sample (April 1999-January 2014) using a measure recently proposed by Diebold and Yılmaz (2012). Second, we make use of a dynamic analysis to evaluate net directional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028329
This paper measures the connectedness in EMU sovereign market volatility between April 1999 and January 2014, in order to monitor stress transmission and to identify episodes of intensive spillovers from one country to the others. To this end, we first perform a static and dynamic analysis to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028923
With a view to establishing a Capital Markets Union (CMU), efforts to integrate (private) capital markets and private risk-sharing in the European Union are underway. However, the single (capital) market will be burdened by a perennial potential threat to sovereign bond market stability in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012051172
We analyse the determinants of stock market integration among EU member states for the period 19992007. First, we apply bivariate DCC-MGARCH models to extract dynamic conditional correlations between European stock markets, which are then explained by interest rate spreads, exchange rate risk,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003888969
The main objective of this paper is to study whether the introduction of the euro had an impact on the degree of integration of European Government bond markets. We adopt the CAPM-based model of Bekaert and Harvey (1995) to compare, from the beginning of Monetary Union until June 2008, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963733
We analyse the determinants of stock market integration among EU member states for the period 1999–2007. First, we apply bivariate DCC-MGARCH models to extract dynamic conditional correlations between European stock markets, which are then explained by interest rate spreads, exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014206060