This paper proposes a new time-deformation model for stock returns sampled in transaction time and directed by a generalized duration process. Stochastic volatility in this model is driven by an observed duration process and a latent autoregressive process. Parameter estimation in the model is...

This article proposes stochastic conditional duration (SCD) models with quot;leverage effectquot; for financial transaction data, which extends both the autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) model (Engle and Russell, 1998, Econometrica, 66, 1127-1162) and the existing SCD model (Bauwens and...

The dynamic analysis of corporate credit ratings is needed for predicting the risk included in a credit portfolio at different horizons. In this paper, we present the estimation of an ordered probit model with factors for the migration probabilities, with its application to aggregate data...

A class of autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models proposed by Jorgensen and Song [Journal of Applied Probability (1998), Vol. 35, pp. 78-92] with exponential dispersion model margins are useful to deal with non-normal stationary time series with high-order autocorrelation. One property...

This paper concerns goodness-of-fit test for semiparametric copula models. Our contribution is two-fold: we first propose a new test constructed via the comparison between "in-sample" and "out-of-sample" pseudolikelihoods, which avoids the use of any probability integral transformations. Under...