We explore the ability of core inflation to predict headline CPI annual inflation for a sample of 8 developing economies in Latin America during the period January 1995-May 2017. Our in-sample and out-of-sample results are roughly consistent in providing evidence of predictability in the great...

This paper presents an interpretation of post-1953 Colombian economic growth and a discussion on future outcomes. The interpretation takes the form of a data playback guided by the decentralized equilibrium version of the Cass-Koopmans-Ramsey model. The role of technical change as a driver of...

This paper analyzes the effectiveness of the economic model which was adopted in Bolivia since 2006. For that purpose, the effect of the new paradigm was evaluated on six Bolivian indicators: production level, exportations, economic diversification, per capita income, human development and...

Productivity gains are the prime engine of economic growth. This paper uses a rich amount of firms' accounting information from the Single Information Collecting Centre in Senegal over the period 1998-2011. To investigate the two main obstacles to growth, poor education and poor access to...

Economic diversification has gained significant attention as a crucial factor for sustainable development worldwide. This paper addresses the risks associated with extreme specialisation and explores the potential benefits of economic diversification for Mongolia. By comparing Mongolia with its...

Recent research conclude that the GCC economies have failed to address the oil curse. They are far behind other countries, especially those in the G7, which possess huge reserves of oil wealth but have undertaken economic diversification to correct the ill-effects of an oil curse. This paper...

This study based on a panel of 37 sub-Saharan Africa countries over the period of 2000-2019 explores the effect of a number of Information and Communications Technology variables namely fixed broad band, fixed line telephone, Information and Communications Technology good imports, internet,...

We propose a method to estimate both whether there is an overall infrastructure shortage and the optimal share of infrastructure in gross fixed capital formation (GFCF). This is based on a two-gap model and linear programming, and is illustrated with the case of Mexico (1950-1985). The results...

The paper estimates and analyzes an equation for intermediate imports during the 1988-2006 post-liberalization period in Mexico. While some results are obtained from Johansen’s VECM model, most of the analysis is carried out within an Error-Correction ARDL framework, following the bounds...

This article presents evidence of correlation between public spending measured by general government consumption (CFGG for its initial in Spanish) as central government primary spending (GPGC for its initials in Spanish) and output per capita in the last two decades. We use a panel data...