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We investigate the relationships between different types of OPEC announcements and term structure variables (level …
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We examine the impact of port congestion on containership freight rates. Our results show that port congestion has a positive and significant effect on containership freight rates. However, a 1% increase in port congestion in North America or Europe has an effect of approximately 0.5% on...
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We analyze how informed investors trade in the options market ahead of corporate news when they receive private, but noisy, information about the timing and impact of these announcements on stock prices. We propose a framework that ranks options trading strategies (option type, maturity, and...
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This paper examines whether the inclusion of oil price shocks of different origin as exogenous variables in a wide set of GARCH-X models improves the accuracy of their volatility forecasts for spot and 1-year time-charter tanker freight rates. Kilian's (2009) oil price shocks of different origin...
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Participants in the maritime industry place much interest in the Forward Freight Agreements (FFA/FFAs), being an indispensable tool for hedging shipping freight risk. Our paper innovates by directly comparing the FFA predictions with their actual future settlement prices as well as by examining...
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