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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860346
Business cycles are substantially correlated across countries. Yet most existing models are not able to generate substantial transmission through international trade. We show that the nature of such transmission depends fundamentally on the features determining the responsiveness of labor supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662021
and developing countries in a model with financial frictions and a common shock structure. We estimate the model jointly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007955
Empirical evidence demonstrates that credit standards, including lending margins and collateral requirements, move in a countercyclical direction. In this study, we construct a small open economy model with financial frictions to generate the countercyclical movement in credit standards. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800343
In this paper we present Aino 3.0, the latest vintage of the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model used at the Bank of Finland for policy analysis. Aino 3.0 is a small-open economy DSGE model at the intersection of the recent literatures on so-called TANK (“Two-Agent New...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225376
's observable endogenous variables. Then we use variance decompositions to examine the importance of each shock. We apply this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735713
Time-varying volatility plays a crucial role in understanding business cycles in emerging market economies. However, the literature treats volatility as an exogenous process. This paper endogenizes time-varying volatility in the debt premium and total factor productivity into a standard small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011925940
. This paper investigates the extent to which a credit shock in one country is transmitted to its trade partners. To this end … investment loans. We find that a negative credit shock to one country induces a sharp contraction in that country's economy …. The degree of credit-shock transmission depends on the home bias in international trade and the type of goods countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011280030
Using a multi-level factor model, we estimate a global factor and country factors using the real macroeconomic variables of 71 countries from 1970 to 2018. The global factor successfully captures economic fluctuations in the world economy and primarily comoves with the business cycles of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236579
Understanding differences in business cycle phenomena between Emerging Market Economies (EMEs) and industrialized countries has been at the center of recent research on macroeconomic fluctuations. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the importance of certain credit market imperfections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010402774