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Scholarship in finance has paid relatively little attention to the role of culture in financial decision … power of culture for these investment biases and outline several new potential directions for research …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023517
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001724764
Many courses in financial economics cover the estimation of forward rates implied in Treasury spot rates. A less well-known extension of this discussion shows how yields on TIPS and similar-maturity conventional Treasury securities may be used to extract the market's inflation expectation. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014212661
This paper tests the performance of stock market forecasts derived from technical analysis by means of a specific …. Two test statistics are introduced to utilize the indicator. The results show that the forecasts generated from the … indicator would enable investors to escape most of the crashes and catch most of the bull runs. The trading signals provided by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004301
We investigate whether the distributional characteristics of corporate bonds predict the cross-sectional differences in future bond returns. The results indicate a significantly positive (negative) link between volatility (skewness) and expected returns, whereas kurtosis does not make a robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005438
forecasts. Yet bias does not necessarily invalidate a forecast, nor does it impinge on its relative quality. We find that … analysts' forecasts are optimistic relative to recently introduced fundamental alternatives. However, analysts' forecasts have … lower absolute deviation and the information in their earnings forecasts has predictive value for near-term stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967143
(integrated) production of information. Nonetheless, this paper documents significant stock return and forecast revision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967356
In a series of papers we published in 2016, we show that relative valuations predict subsequent returns for both factors and smart beta strategies in exactly the same way price matters in stock selection and asset allocation. To many, one surprising revelation in that series is that a number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947277
This paper aims to create a composite national oil sentiment index and examine the sentiment effects on oil futures. The intent is to extrapolate this index for the US market and assess its viability and applicability to other countries in future research. Oil sentiment is measured through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949027
An efficient market is thought to be desirable by many legislators, regulators, and academicians. At the same time, they seem adamant that the investment industry unbundle. These two positions are at odds unless it is proposed that investment research be subsidized. Regulators who insist on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953529