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tool to identify and characterize expectations of business cycle phases for Germany, Spain, the Euro Area, and the European … more sensitive to international disturbances. Our results also reveal a lack of synchronization of the expectations across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865218
inflation expectations of firms and households. Our results reveal that the link between reporting about inflation and changes … in inflation expectations is time-dependent. During periods of intensive newspaper coverage of inflation developments, a … correlation with inflation expectations emerges that does not exist at other times. Such correlations are evident after the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014316793
This paper investigates the effects of inflation news coverage on market-based inflation expectations and outcomes in … regarding specific topics, exerts a significant influence on inflation compensation, expectations, and risk premiums. We observe … contributes to the understanding of media influence on financial markets, specifically in shaping inflation expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374818
from individual expectations. Subjects have no information about underlying market equilibrium equations, but can learn by … stable treatment, rational expectations (RE) yield a good description of observed aggregate price fluctuations: prices remain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333266
should intervene in the business cycle. Following Ramey (2011b), we include expectations held by consumers and firms into the … findings also underscore the need to account for expectations, as failing to do so leads to significant misinterpretation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011525541
particular violation of the Full Information Rational Expectations hypothesis that requires explanation. In contrast, minor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174792
The COVID-19 pandemic has inflicted an economic hardship unprecedented for the modern age. In this paper, we show that the health crisis and ensuing Great Lockdown, came with an unseen level of economic uncertainty. First, using a European dataset on country-level and regional internet searches,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291212
expectations and uncertainty, albeit to a much lesser extent than the domestic policy changes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012248894
expectations and uncertainty, albeit to a much lesser extent than the domestic policy changes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249044
This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean …-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590425