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We introduce a new measure of systemic risk, the change in the conditional joint probability of default, which assesses the effects of the interdependence in the financial system on the general default risk of sovereign debtors. We apply our measure to examine the fragility of the European...
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have been subject to contagion. We proceed in three steps. First, we apply dynamic conditional correlations from a … simple interdependence from contagion. Third, we analyze the determinants behind credit risk co-movements and the role of … contagion using regression analysis. Our results reveal a high degree of co-movements in sovereign credit risk, especially for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486057
European banks are exposed to a substantial amount of risky sovereign debt. The "missing bank capital" resulting from the zero-risk weight exemption for European banks for European sovereign debt amplifies the co-movement between sovereign CDS spreads and facilitates cross-border...
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positive shocks, which creates moral hazard and is best explained by a “too-systemic-to-fail” effect. The contagion effects are … economically significant contagion channel for tail spread increases …
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The euro area crisis was characterised by a negative feedback loop between banks and sovereigns. The paper aims to indicate the genesis of this phenomenon and to determine the scale of its operation during the crisis and post-crisis conditions, as well as to identify the threats it brings. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012417814
This paper analyses whether the introduction of capital requirements for bank government bond holdings increases financial stability by making the banking sector more resilient to sovereign debt crises. Using a theoretical model, we show that a sudden increase in sovereign default risk may lead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755580
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