The paper investigates the linkages between temperature anomalies, radiative forcing and ENSO. By means of a new flexible trend modeling approach, we uncover a nonlinear linkage between radiative forcing and global temperature anomalies. The nonlinear trend closely tracks the low frequency...

Concurrent with the rapid development of the market for catastrophe (cat) bonds, a steady decline in their risk premia has been observed. Whether the latter trend is consistent with the evolution of natural disasters risk is an open question. Indeed, a large share of outstanding risk capital in...

What explains the cross section of expected returns for the 25 size/value Fama-French (FF) portfolios? It is found that modelling time-varying betas is important to explain the cross section of expected returns, as well as to comply with the time series restriction on Jensen-alpha. Support for a...