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Economic shocks due to COVID-19 were exceptional in their severity, suddenness and heterogeneity across industries. To study the upstream and downstream propagation of these industry-specific demand and supply shocks, we build a dynamic input-output model inspired by previous work on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246163
constraints. The paper argues that these pre-existing conditions, all favorable to the coronavirus, have been created, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228903
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012294923
We decompose the macroeconomic impact of Covid-19 in the US using three production network measures. First, we estimate the aggregate indirect effect of sectoral employment shocks, finding these “network spillovers” to account for ≈72% of the decline in real GDP over the second quarter of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256405
This paper presents the first detailed and holistic description of the European production network (EPN) and provides different rankings of the most 'systemically important' industries involved in Brexit. Employing techniques of complex networks analysis and Input-Output traditional tools, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891187
This paper studies the general equilibrium effects of industry-specific productivity shock in an economy in which sectors are connected via input-output linkages. My central finding is productivity shocks do not only travel downstream as is standard in the literature, but also trigger demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012944725
Cloyne (2013) constructs a novel dataset documenting fiscal tax shocks in the United Kingdom using the narrative approach developed by Romer and Romer (2010), and estimates the impact of tax changes on GDP. He finds that a tax cut of one percent of GDP causes a 0.6 percent increase in output in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014556602
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001302563
This paper argues that, in the presence of intersectoral input–output linkages, microeconomic idiosyncratic shocks may lead to aggregate fluctuations. We show that, as the economy becomes more disaggregated, the rate at which aggregate volatility decays is determined by the structure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014042387
This paper argues that in the presence of intersectoral input-output linkages, microeconomic idiosyncratic shocks may lead to aggregate fluctuations. In particular, it shows that, as the economy becomes more disaggregated, the rate at which aggregate volatility decays is determined by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009489113