Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. There is a gamut of literature of technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and derive profit from it. Improving the prediction accuracy...

The purpose of this study is to identify the most effective supervised machine learning models for predicting the financial performance of companies listed on the BIST100 index. In the rapidly evolving field of financial forecasting, machine learning techniques offer robust predictive...

This paper aims to enhance the classical mean-variance portfolio selection by using machine learning techniques and accounting for systemic risk. The optimal portfolio is solved through a three-step supervised learning model. Firstly, the Smooth Pinball Neural Network is employed to predict...

Purpose - The economic and administrative conditions of countries normatively have an effect on the economy and level of market development. Moreover, it is of great importance for a healthy economy whether the public institutions and organizations are transparent and functioning in accordance...

We develop FinText, a novel, state-of-the-art, financial word embedding from Dow Jones Newswires Text News Feed Database. Incorporating this word embedding in a machine learning model produces a substantial increase in volatility forecasting performance on days with volatility jumps for 23...

For stock market predictions, the essence of the problem is usually predicting the magnitude and direction of the stock price movement as accurately as possible. There are different approaches (e.g., econometrics and machine learning) for predicting stock returns. However, it is non-trivial to...

This paper examines, for the first time, the performance of machine learning models in realised volatility forecasting using big data sets such as LOBSTER limit order books and news stories from Dow Jones News Wires for 28 NASDAQ stocks over a sample period of July 27, 2007, to November 18,...

Nowadays, the European economy faces significant global challenges that threaten the continuity of economic growth, especially in the German manufacturing sector, which is under strain from financial turmoil, resulting in numerous layoffs and firm closures. In this respect, FinTech significantly...

Prediction of stock closing price plays a critical role in financial planning, risk management, and informed investment decision-making. In this study, we propose a novel model that synergistically amalgamates Bidirectional GRU (BiGRU) with three complementary attention techniques-Top-k Sparse,...

One of the main principles to build portfolios of financial assets is to achieve stable long-term performance and avoid large drawdowns. This article describes how a method of Machine Learning, Kohonen's Self-Organising Maps (SOM), can be applied to visualise risk and to build robust portfolios...