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The recent increase in China's house prices at the national level masks tremendous variation at the city level – a … feature largely overlooked in the macroprudential literature. This paper considers the evolving heterogeneity in China's house … a novel regime-switching modelling approach to estimate the time-varying patterns of China's city-level housing price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900441
The recent increase in China's house prices at the national level masks tremendous variation at the city level – a … feature largely overlooked in the macroprudential literature. This paper considers the evolving heterogeneity in China's house … novel regime-switching modelling approach to estimate the time-varying patterns of China's city-level housing price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929184
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The recent U.S. house price bubble and the subsequent deep financial crisis have renewed the interest in reliable identification methods for asset price bubbles. While there is a growing number of studies focussing on the detection of U.S. regional bubbles, estimations of the likely starting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009721794
This paper is mainly concerned with the analysis of regional house price cycles. Based on a newly available data set consisting of the 40 largest U.S. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs), we introduce a wavelet transform based metric to study the housing cycle synchronization across MSAs. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306112
In this study we present a statistical analysis of the time series properties of the geographic regions in the OFHEO U.S. house price database. We perform an unobserved components, structural time series analysis of 9 regional indexes and super-regional factors and fit a classic 'smooth trend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157637
It is well-documented that housing leads the business cycle at the national level. Dating back as far as the great depression, nearly every recession or boom has been preceded by a respective drop or rise in residential investment (Green, 1997; Leamer, 2007). However, neither the business cycle nor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900957