We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovement and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We … dynamics of stock-bond return correlations poorly. Alternative factors, such as liquidity proxies, help explain the residual …

We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovement and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We … dynamics of stock-bond return correlations poorly. Alternative factors, such as liquidity proxies, help explain the residual …

I provide evidence that risks in macroeconomic fundamentals contain valuable information about bond risk premia. I … account for up to 31% of the variation in excess bond returns. The main predictor factors are associated with point … unemployment rate. In addition, factors provide information about bond risk premia variation that is largely unrelated to that …

This paper studies the predictability of bond risk premia by means of expectations to future business conditions using … excess bond returns and that the inclusion of expected business conditions in standard predictive regressions improve … both statistically and from the perspective of a mean-variance investor that trades in the bond market …

information for forecasting bond risk premia in a macro-finance term structure model from the perspective of a bond investor. I … forecaster's objective. Incorporating macro information generates significant gains in forecasting bond risk premia relative to …

zero coupon bond prices: bootstrapping, a piecewise constant forward rates method, a cubic spline model, and the Nelson and … Siegel smoothing model. Next, based on the estimated real and nominal curves, several methodologies to hedge bond portfolios …

a novel utilization of these models in bond portfolio optimization. Specifically, we derive closed-form expressions for … the vector of expected bond returns and for its covariance matrix based on a general class of dynamic factor models, and … use these expressions to obtain optimal mean-variance bond portfolios. We also develop a duration-constrained, mean …