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Using Merton's (1974) structural model corporate debt default, this paper argues that correlation between firm level corporate bond yield changes and stock returns should be informative about firm level default risk of this corporate debt. In particular, as the absolute value of the correlation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139782
We investigate whether the effect of liquidity on equity returns can be attributed to the liquidity level, as a stock characteristic, or a market wide systematic liquidity risk. We develop a CAPM liquidity-augmented risk model and test the characteristic hypothesis against the systematic risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067533
We examine the independent and dominating effects of the liquidity level, the information asymmetry and the divergence of opinion on asset returns in an important emerging market, Chinese stock market. We use the variable ILLIQ from Amihud (2002) to proxy for the liquidity level, the variable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723064
This paper solves explicitly an equilibrium asset pricing model with liquidity risk - the risk arising from unpredictable changes in liquidity over time. In our liquidity-adjusted capital asset pricing model, a security's required return depends on its expected liquidity, as well as on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012785087
In Japan, as in the United States, stocks that are more sensitive to changes in the monthly growth rate of labor income earn a higher return on average. Whereas the stock-index beta can only explain 2 percent of the cross-sectional variation in the average return on stock portfolios, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012744447
We treat expenditures that create intangible assets as investments and instead of expensing them, we add them back to earnings when measuring the return on equity of firms while constructing the profitability factor in the Fama and French (2015) five factor model. The profitability factor we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247989
Using a two-period model of a commodity market with a large number of atomistic consumers and two strategic sellers, we show that a speculator with access to storage can lower the market price while buying and raise the price while selling by clever use of limit, stop-loss, and market orders....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537722
This paper re-examines the liquidity effect on stock expected returns in the NYSE over the period 1926–2008, the pre-1963 period, for which there is a lack of research, and the post-1963 period. The results from the entire sample of 1926–2008 show that expected returns increase with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014361687
We measure investors' short- and long-term stock-return expectations using both options and survey data. These expectations at different horizons reveal what investors think their own short-term expectations will be in the future, or forward return expectations. While contemporaneous short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372444
We evaluate whether machine learning methods can better model excess portfolio returns compared to the standard regression-based strategies generally used in the finance and econometric literature. We examine 17 benchmark factor model specifications based on Expected Utility Theory and theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015066381