This paper describes the particular impacts of the financial and economic crisis on Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries, studies pro-cyclicality of fiscal policies, discusses the impact of the crisis on fiscal policy, and the policy response of various governments. After drawing some...

This paper describes the particular impacts of the financial and economic crisis on central and eastern European (CEE) countries, studies pro-cyclicality of fiscal policies, discusses the impact of the crisis on fiscal policy, and the policy response of various governments. After drawing some...

We propose and apply a new approach for analyzing the effects of fiscal policy using vector autoregressions. Unlike most of the previous literature this approach does not require that the contemporaneous reaction of some variables to fiscal policy shocks be set to zero or need additional...

We study the dynamics of U.S. public debt in a parsimonious VAR. We find that including debt feedback ensures the stationarity of debt while standard VARs excluding debt may imply an explosive debt path. We also find that the response of debt to inflation or interest shocks is not robust and...

We study how macroeconomic shocks affect U.S. public debt dynamics using a VAR with debt feedback. Following a fiscal austerity shock, the debt ratio initially declines and then returns to its pre-shock path. Yet, the effect is not statistically significant. In a weak economic environment, the...

Origins and implications of twin deficits occurrence in a large scale of countries seems to be a center of rigorous empirical as well as theoretical investigation for decades. The reality of persisting fiscal and current account deficits became obvious in many advanced as well as advancing,...

European Union member countries are currently exposed to negative implications of the economic and debt crisis. Questions associated with disputable implications of fiscal incentives seem to be contrary to the crucial need of the effective fiscal consolidation that is necessary to reduce...

The paper is consacrated to the binomial “public budget-global output” from the BARS curve perspective. The first section characterizes the main conceptual premises of this approach. The second is devoted to empirical analysis, using the statistical data (1990-2013) for Romania, an European...

The paper is consacrated to the binomial “public budget-global output” from the BARS curve perspective. The first section characterizes the main conceptual premises of this approach. The second is devoted to empirical analysis, using the statistical data (1990- 2013) for Romania, an European...

Italian Abstract:In questo saggio vengono utilizzati metodi di analisi delle serie storiche al fine di studiare le relazioni tra il rapporto debito pubblico/PIL e le sue determinanti macroeconomiche (quali il rapporto saldo primario/PIL, il PIL reale, il tasso di inflazione e il tasso di...