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In this paper we propose a composite indicator that measures multi-dimensional sovereign bond market stress in the euro area as a whole and in individual euro area member states. It integrates measures of credit risk, volatility and liquidity at short-term and long-term bond maturities into a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315399
We introduce a methodology for measuring default risk connectedness that is based on an out-of-sample variance decomposition of model forecast errors. The out-of-sample nature of the procedure leads to "realized" measures which, in practice, respond more quickly to crisis occurrences than those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503874
In this paper we propose a composite indicator that measures multidimensional sovereign bond market stress in the euro area as a whole and in individual euro area member states. It integrates measures of credit risk, volatility and liquidity at short-term and long-term bond maturities into a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011921004
We propose a simple model that captures the link between bank and sovereign credit risk. It allows evaluating policy options to address this 'doom loop' in which the government may need to raise debt to recapitalise banks, and an increase in government debt raises sovereign risk and in turn...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012053254
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more … remarkable: the core Eurozone members become less vulnerable to EUZ contagion, possibly due to a safe-heaven effect, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
the Eurozone. The adjusted correlation analysis confirms that Greece and other PIIGS (even Spain and Italy) have lower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965163
The Euro area has a unique monetary authority that governs money creation, but several individual-countries’ sovereign debts that differ in terms of safety. We analyse: i) the interactions between the financial and real sector in such an environment; ii) the role of government bonds as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012507194
This paper analyzes sovereign risk contagion in the Eurozone using an extension to the canonical model for contagion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222446
This paper investigates and models the yield spreads of sovereign debt of Eurozone countries by means of macroeconomic … fundamentals. In particular, this paper shows that the change in the volatility of terms-of-trade of trade outside the Eurozone was … terms-of-trade in this manner for the Eurozone, and presents important findings for fixed income investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948379
Using a comprehensive dataset from German banks, we document the usage of sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) during the European sovereign debt crisis of 2008-2013. Banks used the sovereign CDS market to extend, rather than hedge, their long exposures to sovereign risk during this period....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898392