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It is well established that value stocks outperform glamour stocks, yet considerable debate exists about whether the return differential reflects compensation for risk or mispricing. Under mispricing explanations, prices of glamour (value) firms reflect systematically optimistic (pessimistic)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093880
We establish a link between firms managing investors' performance expectations, earnings announcement premia, and cyclical patterns (i.e., seasonalities) in returns. Firms that are more likely to manage expectations toward beatable levels predictably earn lower returns before, and higher returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902681
We study the use of firms' book-to-market ratios (B/M) in value investing and its implications for comovements in firms’ stock returns and trading volumes. We show B/M has become increasingly detached from common alternative valuation ratios over time while also becoming worse at forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012586511
We outline a framework in which accounting “valuation anchors" could be connected to expected stock returns. Under two general conditions, expected log returns is a log- linear function of a valuation (market value-to-accounting) multiple and the expected growth in the valuation anchor. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012511896
I provide evidence that investors systematically overweight analyst forecasts by demonstrating that prices do not fully reflect the predictable component of analyst forecast errors. This evidence conflicts with conclusions in prior research relying on traditional approaches to predicting analyst...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094105
High-frequency trading has become a dominant force in the U.S. capital market, accounting for over 70% of dollar trading volume. This study examines the implication of high-frequency trading for stock price volatility and price discovery. I find that high-frequency trading is positively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137079
Using novel earnings calendar data, we show that firms' advanced scheduling of earnings announcement dates foreshadows their earnings news. Firms that schedule later-than-expected announcement dates subsequently announce worse news than those scheduling earlier-than-expected announcement dates....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972886
I examine whether the market's reaction to firms' earnings news varies with analysis (i.e., editorial content) produced by financial journalists. A series of restructuring events at The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) suggests that WSJ articles improve price discovery and increase trading volume at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932181
We show meetings of investors and firms convey information about expected returns. Investors frequently travel to meet in-person with firms before investing, and we show firms with abnormally frequent meetings predictably outperform firms with abnormally infrequent meetings by roughly 70-to-100...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233632
In recent studies, the analysts' consensus forecasts are widely used as a proxy for the unobservable market's consensus expectation of future earnings. As prior studies indicate, the analysts' consensus forecasts measure the true underlying construct with errors and the errors may vary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102171