Spanish Abstract: Aunque el impacto de la tasa de interés sobre la inversión en activos productivos es una de las razones esenciales de la política monetaria, son escasos los resultados de estudios en Colombia que cuantifican ese impacto. Desde el clásico artículo de Ocampo, Londoño y...

Este artículo interpreta la política exterior de Colombia de las últimas dos décadas como un periodo de tránsito desde un irremediable énfasis en la solución de problemas internos, hacia una política de mayor alcance y margen de maniobra. La situación caótica del país en los noventa...

Identifying the true determinants of export diversification is difficult as there exists no comprehensive theoretical or empirical framework to capture all potential factors in their entirety. This paper uses Bayesian Model Averaging to uncover the true long-term roots of export diversification...

Food price elasticities (PE) are essential for evaluating impacts of food pricing interventions. Existing econometric estimates of food PEs are often poor, being based on single observational data sets without much variation in prices and failing to utilise prior information. In order to provide...

We introduce a Bayesian instrumental variable procedure with spatial random effects that handles endogeneity, and spatial dependence with unobserved heterogeneity. We take into account the endogeneity through a system of simultaneous equations where a conditional correlation between the...

In this paper we analyze the effect of four possible alternatives regarding the prior distributions in a linear model with autoregressive errors to predict piped water consumption: Normal-Gamma, Normal-Scaled Beta two, Studentized-Gamma and Student's t-Scaled Beta two. We show the effects of...

The world meat market demands competitiveness and optimal livestock replacement decisions can help to achieve this goal. We introduce a novel discrete stochastic dynamic programming framework to support a manager's decision-making process of whether to sell or keep fattening animals in the beef...

We introduce a Bayesian instrumental variable procedure with spatial random effects that handles endogeneity, and spatial dependence with unobserved heterogeneity. We find through a limited Monte Carlo experiment that our proposal works well in terms of point estimates and prediction. Then, we...

In this paper, we estimate a dynamic panel data model to determine the effect of various institutional factors on the performance of a sample of Colombian companies during the period 2002-2007. Our results indicate that the analyzed companies are affected by these factors. Institutions...

This paper establishes the consequences of a wrong specification on the quality of the data envelopment analysis. Specifically, the case of omitting a relevant variable in the input oriented problem is analyzed when there are different correlation structures between the inputs. It is established...