This paper develops a methodology to test whether recent developments on world oil markets are in line with the hypothesis of efficient markets. We treat the joint hypothesis problem as stated by Fama (1970), Fama (1991), that market efficiency can only be assessed in conjunction with a price...

WTI and Brent futures are tested for the presence of psychological barriers around $10 price levels applying a multiple hypothesis testing approach for robustness. Psychological barriers are present in Brent pricing but not in WTI pricing, which is argued, based on recent behavioural finance...

WTI and Brent futures are tested for the presence of psychological barriers around $10 price levels applying a multiple hypothesis testing approach for robustness. Psychological barriers are present in Brent pricing but not in WTI pricing, which is argued, based on recent behavioural finance...

Abstract: The coincident rise in crude oil prices and increased numbers of financial participants in the crude oil futures market from 2000-2008 has led to allegations that "speculators" drive crude oil prices. As crude oil futures peaked at $147/bbl in July 2008, the role of speculators came...

We examine the price discovery performance of China’s crude oil futures traded on the Shanghai International Energy Exchange (INE) for the spot prices of 19 types of deliverable and non-deliverable Asian crude oil. We find evidence for the INE crude oil futures price discovery function even at...

We find excess buying just below round numbers ($X.99) and excess selling just above round numbers ($X.01) using tick data of 152 million West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures transactions from January 1996 to October 2015. The round number effects were stronger in a regime of open outcry...

This paper develops a methodology to test whether recent developments on world oil markets are in line with the hypothesis of efficient markets. We treat the joint hypothesis problem as stated by Fama (1970), Fama (1991), that market efficiency can only be assessed in conjunction with a price...

The original double auction studies of supply and demand markets established their strong efficiency and equilibrium convergence behavior using economically unsophisticated and untrained subjects. The results were unexpected because all individual costs and values were private and dependent...

This study assesses the hedging properties of commodity futures across three dimensions: market, investment horizon and time. Measured over the full sample period (1970-2011), commodity futures show significant ability to hedge US inflation, especially for investment horizons of at least one...