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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581927
only its applicability to arbitrary continuous distributions but also the evaluation of the forecast accuracy in specific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115624
This paper provides an insight to the time-varying dynamics of the shape of the distribution of financial return series by proposing an exponential weighted moving average model that jointly estimates volatility, skewness and kurtosis over time using a modified form of the Gram-Charlier density...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105503
on the basis of their one-step ahead forecasting performance. With regard to forecast unbiasedness and precision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009723920
on the basis of their one-step ahead forecasting performance. With regard to forecast unbiasedness and precision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084434
We define the Multidimensional Value at Risk (MVaR) as a natural generalization of VaR. This generalization makes a number of important applications possible. For example, many techniques developed for VaR can be applied to MVaR directly. As an illustration, we employ VaR forecasting and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871618
Multidimensional Value at Risk (MVaR) generalises VaR in a natural way as the intersection of univariate VaRs. We reduce the dimensionality of MVaRs which allows for adapting the techniques and applications developed for VaR to MVaR. As an illustration, we employ VaR forecasting and evaluation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014120778
This paper provides an insight to the time-varying dynamics of the shape of the distribution of financial return series by proposing an exponential weighted moving average model that jointly estimates volatility, skewness and kurtosis over time using a modified form of the Gram-Charlier density...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731521
forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other approaches. In simulation experiments and an empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431370
This paper develops a Monte-Carlo backtesting procedure for risk premia strategies and employs it to study Time-Series Momentum (TSM). Relying on time-series models, empirical residual distributions and copulas we overcome two key drawbacks of conventional backtesting procedures. We create...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990919