This paper proposes a procedure for the determination of the minimal length of the historical time series of daily deposit variations in accordance with an institution’s specific risk tolerance. In a previously released paper we developed a methodology to ascertain an institutional specific...

This paper aims to develop a methodology for the estimation of the idiosyncratic confidence level inherent within the process of determining the threshold of separation between volatile and stable deposit volumes. The idiosyncratic confidence level must be reflective of the institution's...

Sind die so genannten Leerverkäufe Mitverursacher der Finanzkrise und sollten deshalb Wetten auf sinkende Kurse verboten werden? Andre Horovitz, Financial Risk Fitness GmbH, verdeutlicht in seinem Beitrag, dass auch Leerverkäufe und "leer geschlossene" CDS für Unternehmen sinnvoll sein...

This paper aims to evaluate an inference of bank internal PDs (Default Probabilities) on subsequent prepayments of variable rate institutional loans. Since variable rate loans hardly present an economic motivation for early prepayments in that they would not o er a cheaper re nancing...

We model the evolution of the number of individuals that are reported to be sick with COVID-19 in Germany. Our theoretical framework builds on a continuous time Markov chain with four states: healthy without infection, sick, healthy after recovery or after infection but without symptoms and...

Many countries consider the lifting of restrictions of social contacts (RSC). We quantify the effects of RSC for Germany. We initially employ a purely statistical approach to predicting prevalence of COVID19 if RSC were upheld after April 20. We employ these findings and feed them into our...