This paper studies the causal effect of inflation literacy on inflation expectations and trust in the central bank …, we first test the effect of non-numerical information about inflation and monetary policy, the literacy treatment. In the … the literacy treatment, incorporate quantitative information differently into their inflation forecasts. We find that the …

The paper adds money supply and inflation expectations shocks to a well-known three-variable structural model that … supply and to inflation expectations significantly increase real oil prices; with the unadjusted M1 aggregate there is no … role played by inflation expectations and the money supply shocks during major oil shock episodes. These shocks partially …

sharp rise in inflation. Applied to Germany and the euro area, the model suggests that the surge in inflation has mainly … been caused by commodity price shocks and supply bottlenecks, rather than shortages in the labour market. Inflation … future inflation rates. However, this prediction is based on the assumption that there will be no commodity price shocks and …

. Our NKPC specification, that relies on market- and survey-based inflation expectations, explains well euro area inflation …This paper presents the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) -based framework for analysing euro area inflation outlook … long-horizons. Overall, the NKPC is a useful tool for monitoring euro area inflation outlook. Thanks to its fast and light …

We build a novel term structure model for pricing synthetic euro area core inflation-linked swaps, a hypothetical swap … contract indexed to core inflation. Our approach relies on a term structure model of traded headline inflation-linked swap … rates, which we assume span core inflation. The model provides estimates of market-based expectations for core inflation, as …

We propose a new model to decompose inflation swaps into genuine inflation expectations and risk premiums. We develop a … long-run, economically grounded determinants, such as the equilibrium real interest rate and the inflation target. Our … estimations deliver new insights into how macroeconomic variables affect market-based inflation expectation measures. …

We build a novel term structure model for pricing synthetic euro area core inflation-linked swaps, a hypothetical swap … contract indexed to core inflation. Our approach relies on a term structure model of traded headline inflation-linked swap … rates, which we assume span core inflation. The model provides estimates of market-based expectations for core inflation, as …

environment affects how agents learn from new information. We show that as inflation rose in advanced economies, both households … and firms became more attentive and informed about publicly available news about inflation, leading them to respond less … to exogenously provided information about inflation and monetary policy. We also study the effects of RCTs in countries …