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Over the last two centuries, the cross-spectral coherence between either narrow or broad money growth and inflation at … other countries, thus implying that the fraction of inflation’s long-run variation explained by long-run money growth has … correspondence with the inflationary outbursts associated with World War I and the Great Inflation–but not World War II …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605073
–both per hour and per worker–in the United States, the Eurozone, the United Kingdom, Australia, and Japan over the post … years. Results for the Eurozone point towards a marked deceleration since the beginning of the 1980s, with equilibrium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604764
area, Japan, and U.K.) a compression in the long-term yield spread exerts a powerful effect on both output growth and … inflation. Second, conditional on available estimates of the impact of the FED’s and the Bank of England’s asset purchase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605304
Business cycle models with sticky prices and endegenous firm entry make novel predictions on the transmission of shocks through the extensive margin of investment. This paper tests some of these predictions using a vector autoregression with model-based sign restrictions. We find a positive and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295880
Using a unique German firm-level data set, this paper is the first to jointly study the cyclical properties of the cross-sections of firm-level real value added and Solow residual innovations, as well as capital and employment adjustment. We find two new business cycle facts: 1) The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298833
-form) properties of the economy. Based on estimated models for the Great Inflation and the most recent period, I show that, as a … played by monetary policy in exacerbating the Great Depression, causing the Great Inflation, or fostering the Great …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605234
Using a German firm-level data set, this paper is the first to jointly study the cyclical properties of the cross-sections of firm-level real value added and Solow residual innovations, as well as capital and employment adjustment. We find two new business cycle facts: 1) The cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271782
We characterise the evolution of the U.S. unemployment-inflation trade-off since the late XIX century era via a … Bayesian time-varying parameters structural VAR. The Great Inflation episode appears as historically unique along several … inflation and unemployment’s deviations from equilibrium–was, during those years, clearly out of line with respect to the rest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605222
We study the joint evolution of prices and rents of residential property. After constructing rent and price indices for renter- and owner-occupied properties, we decompose the change in the price of occupant-owned property into (1) changes in rent, (2) changes in the relative prices of investor-...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442968
Recent studies proposed news about future technology growth as the main driver of macroeconomic fluctuations. The identification of these news through stock prices in SVARs has been criticized in the past. Therefore, I propose a series of experiments to test that hypothesis by examining its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281600