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This paper elaborates on the link between financial market volatility and real economic activity. Using monthly data … the future stance of the business cycle and on the volatility of industrial production. The results of our empirical … investigation lead us to reject the hypothesis that financial market volatility causes the cycle or real volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275423
Recent studies proposed news about future technology growth as the main driver of macroeconomic fluctuations. The identification of these news through stock prices in SVARs has been criticized in the past. Therefore, I propose a series of experiments to test that hypothesis by examining its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281600
specifications of high-dimensional trading processes. It turns out that common shocks affect the return volatility and the trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298374
specifications of high-dimensional trading processes. It turns out that common shocks affect the return volatility and the trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263700
States of the European Union, to test if the same short-run increase in cyclical volatility arising from financial … mature market economies, reduces cyclical volatility both in the short and in the long run. Weak indications are found that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295650
In this paper, we examine the evolution of the S&P500 returns volatility around market crashes using a Markov …-Switching model. We find that volatility typically switches into the high volatility state well before a crash and remains in the high … volatility by uniformed traders result in a crash. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294846
differences of opinion is left, and hence volatility is decreased. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297797
.28% with a half-life of 0.92 days. Price pressure causes average transitory volatility in daily stock returns of 0.49%. Price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303739
differences of opinion is left, and hence volatility is decreased. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324062
We explore the implications of shocks to expected future productivity in a setting with limited enforcement of financial contracts. As in Lorenzoni andWalentin (2007) optimal financial contracts under limited enforcement imply that to obtain external finance firms have to post collateral in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320759