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The growth rate of total factor productivity seems to have increased recently, at least in the United States. Higher US … productivity growth may justify higher stock market valuations than in the past and thus herald an emerging New Economy. However …, the size of the estimated growth rate of total factor productivity depends on an assumption about the factor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277425
The sharp increase in equity prices over the 1990s was widely attributed to permanently higher productivity growth …, which shows that under plausible assumptions, productivity advances can only have temporary effects on the fundamentals of … equity prices. Using historical data on productivity of R&D capital, patent capital and fixed capital for 11 OECD countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320911
investigate different identification schemes for bi-variate systems comprising U.S. stock prices and total factor productivity …. The former variable is viewed as reflecting expectations of economic agents about future productivity. It is found that … used for total factor productivity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264444
This paper gives an overview of some issues related to market valuation, focusing on the developments on the New York equity markets. The 42.4 p.c. fall in the S&P 500 price index between 24 March 2000 - when it reached its all-time high - and 31 December 2002 is situated in a very long term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506563
Die New Economy hatte zu einem steilen Aufstieg der Aktienmärkte geführt, dem mittlerweile Ernüchterung gefolgt ist. Wie kam es zu dem Höhenflug? Ist mit der New Economy eine neue Ära ohne Konjunkturzyklen und Inflation verbunden? Welche Folgen hat die Verbreitung der neuen Informations-...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302197
model with adaptive expectations about future productivity growth can reproduce the aggregate land price. However, even with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318972
We explore the implications of shocks to expected future productivity in a setting with limited enforcement of … response to positive news about future productivity, as well as the other properties of an expectation driven business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320759
This paper elaborates on the relative importance of sectoral shocks for real economic activity in Germany. Implications of multisectoral real business cycle models are examined by resorting to testing techniques based on stock market returns. The empirical evidence is obtained by calculating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260560
The appropriate design of monetary policy in integrated financial markets is one of the most challenging areas for central banks. One hot topic is whether the rise in liquidity in recent years has contributed to the formation of price bubbles in asset markets. If strong linkages exist, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291772
This paper develops an equilibrium model of speculative bubbles that can be used to explore the role of various policies in either giving rise to or eliminating the possibility of asset bubbles, e.g. restricting the use of certain types of loan contracts, imposing down- payment restrictions, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292195