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A popular interpretation of the Rational Expectations/Efficient Markets hypothesis states that, if the hypothesis holds, then market valuations must follow a random walk. This postulate has frequently been criticized on the basis of empirical evidence. Yet the assertion itself incurs what we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010309044
In this paper we experimentally test skewness preferences at the individual level. Several prospects that can be ordered with respect to the third-degree stochastic dominance (3SD) criterion are ranked by the participants of the experiment. We find that the skewness of a distribution has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294775
Financial advisors typically recommend that a long-term investor should hold a higher percentage of his wealth in stocks than a short-term investor. However, part of the academic literature disagrees with this advice. We use a spatial dominance test which is suited for comparing alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322602
Consider a simple two-state risk with equal probabilities for the two states. In particular, assume that the random … way, we can extend and generalize existing results about risk attitudes. This lottery preference includes behavior … exhibiting higher order risk effects, such as precautionary effects and tempering effects. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264492
In this paper we experimentally test skewness seeking at the individual level. Several prospects that can be ordered with respect to the third-degree stochastic dominance (3SD) criterion are ranked by the participants of the experiment. We ¯nd that the skewness of a distribution has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275666
uncertainty and hedging opportunities. Market transparency is modeled by means of the informational content of publicly observable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296824
. For example, the nature of monotonicity of the indifference curve depends on the underlying mean. Price hedging decisions … hedging decisions within the prospect theory. We illustrate our general considerations with a thoroughly worked out example. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301357
This paper studies the impact of counter-party default risk of forward contracts on a firm's production and hedging … decisions. Using a model of a risk-averse competitive firm under price uncertainty, it derives several fundamental results. If … expected profits from forward contracts are zero, the hedge ratio is surprisingly not affected by default risk under general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302529
We take a simple time-series approach to modeling and forecasting daily average temperature in U.S. cities, and we inquire systematically as to whether it may prove useful from the vantage point of participants in the weather derivatives market. The answer is, perhaps surprisingly, yes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298284
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324067