Following the COVID-19 outbreak in Europe this spring and subsequent measures to contain the pandemic, the European Commission drastically revised its economic and fiscal forecasts. The Summer 2020 Economic Forecast projects that the euro area economy will contract by 8.7% in 2020. The...

EU fiscal rules are meant to keep public finances on a sustainable path. This paper presents a new database that tracks numerical compliance with the four main rules of the Stability and Growth Pact starting in 1998. Our assessment of numerical compliance abstracts from the many exceptions and...

The purpose of this paper is to explore whether the 'Fit for 55' update of the European Union's CO₂ regulation is up to the task of fixing its past mistakes and putting Europe on course to reach net zero mobility by 2050, while also dealing with the new set of challenges that arises with the...

This policy brief provides a discussion of the relationships between austerity, Greece's macroeconomic performance, debt sustainability, and the provision of healthcare and other social services over the last decade. It explains that austerity was imposed in the name of debt sustainability....

Am 14. Oktober 2010 stellten die Wirtschaftsforschungsinstitute der Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose in Berlin ihr Herbstgutachten der Presse vor. Nach Ansicht der Institute hat sich im Verlauf des Jahres 2010 die Erholung der Weltwirtschaft verlangsamt. Der im Winterhalbjahr stürmische...

Am 13. Oktober 2011 stellten die Wirtschaftsforschungsinstitute der Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose in Berlin ihr Herbstgutachten der Presse vor. Nach Ansicht der Institute haben sich im Sommer 2011 die Aussichten für die Weltwirtschaft deutlich verschlechtert. Unternehmen und Haushalte in...

Im Sommer 2011 haben sich die Aussichten für die Weltwirtschaft deutlich verschlechtert. Insbesondere droht sich in Europa die Staatsschuldenkrise zu einer Bankenkrise auszuweiten. Dies belastet zunehmend auch die deutsche Konjunktur. Die stark erhöhte Unsicherheit wird die inländische...

Using new data on returns and risk factors the paper considers the stock performance on the Japanese market, which is the second largest in the world and operates under unique macroeconomic conditions. We find that the CAPM model is not an adequate approach for the Japanese market. The Carhart...

Brazil has had a long period of high inflation. It peaked around 100 percent per year in 1964, decreased until the first oil shock (1973), but accelerated again afterward, reaching levels above 100 percent on average between 1980 and 1994. This last period coincided with severe balance of...