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Over the last two centuries, the cross-spectral coherence between either narrow or broad money growth and inflation at … other countries, thus implying that the fraction of inflation’s long-run variation explained by long-run money growth has … correspondence with the inflationary outbursts associated with World War I and the Great Inflation–but not World War II …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605073
Following Fuhrer and Moore (1995), several authors have proposed alternative mechanisms to ‘hardwire’ inflation … European Monetary Union, of inflation-targeting countries, and of the new Swiss monetary policy regime, I show that, in the …), the parameters encoding the ‘intrinsic’ component of inflation persistence are not invariant across monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605084
-form) properties of the economy. Based on estimated models for the Great Inflation and the most recent period, I show that, as a … played by monetary policy in exacerbating the Great Depression, causing the Great Inflation, or fostering the Great …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605234
Using a German firm-level data set, this paper is the first to jointly study the cyclical properties of the cross-sections of firm-level real value added and Solow residual innovations, as well as capital and employment adjustment. We find two new business cycle facts: 1) The cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271782
Business cycle models with sticky prices and endegenous firm entry make novel predictions on the transmission of shocks through the extensive margin of investment. This paper tests some of these predictions using a vector autoregression with model-based sign restrictions. We find a positive and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295880
Using a unique German firm-level data set, this paper is the first to jointly study the cyclical properties of the cross-sections of firm-level real value added and Solow residual innovations, as well as capital and employment adjustment. We find two new business cycle facts: 1) The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298833
-kinked demand schedule for goods produced by firms. Our model can jointly account for the modest decline in inflation during the … Great Recession and the surge in inflation post-COVID-19. Because our model implies a stronger transmission of shocks when … inflation is high, it generates conditional heteroskedasticity in inflation and inflation risk. Hence, our model can generate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544443
Recent studies proposed news about future technology growth as the main driver of macroeconomic fluctuations. The identification of these news through stock prices in SVARs has been criticized in the past. Therefore, I propose a series of experiments to test that hypothesis by examining its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281600
Is time-varying firm-level uncertainty a major cause or amplifier of the business cycle? This paper investigates this question in the context of a heterogeneous-firm RBC model with persistent firm-level productivity shocks and lumpy capital adjustment, where cyclical changes in uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266059
Is time-varying firm-level uncertainty a major cause or amplifier of the business cycle? This paper investigates this question in the context of a heterogeneousfirm RBC model with persistent firm-level productivity shocks and lumpy capital adjustment, where cyclical changes in uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298831