Showing 1 - 10 of 110
We present an empirical study focusing on the estimation of a fundamental multi-factor model for a universe of European stocks. Following the approach of the BARRA model, we have adopted a cross-sectional methodology. The proportion of explained variance ranges from 7.3% to 66.3% in the weekly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316262
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390625
When the yield curve is modelled using an affine factor model, residuals may still contain relevant information and do not adhere to the familiar white noise assumption.This paper proposes a pragmatic way to improve out of sample performance for yield curve forecasting. The proposed adjustment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326442
multivariate FIAPARCH framework is provided in terms of forecast error statistics and tests for equal forecast accuracy of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422185
The paper proposes a model for the dynamics of stock prices that incorporates increased asset co-movements during extreme market downturns in a continuous-time setting. The model is based on the construction of a multivariate diffusion with a pre-specified stationary density with tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326158
In diesem Aufsatz wird die nichtparametrische Autoregression auf die Prognose von Quantilen angewendet. Verfahren der … Kernregression werden benutzt, um zu autoregressiven Quantiisschätzern zu gelangen. Da die üblichen Maße zur Beurteilung der Prognose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397885
There are various parametric models to analyse the volatility in time series of financial market data. For maximum likelihood estimation these parametric methods require the assumption of a known conditional distribution. In this paper we examine the conditional distribution of daily DAX returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398046
This paper reexamines the Equity Premium Puzzle for the German stock market with control for inflation and taxation. Two methods for relaxing the assumption of aggregate consumption being equal to aggregate dividends are compared: the leverage approach and the usage of a bivariate stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398054
This paper proposes an equilibrium relationship between expected exchange rate changes and differentials in expected returns on risky assets. We show that when expected returns on a risky asset in a certain economy are higher than the returns that are expected from investing in a risky asset in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604858
expected returns and betas. The numerical results of a Monte Carlo simulation show that in the CAPM slightly inefficient … the results suggest that the CAPM's pricing error is small when slightly inefficient, positively weighted proxies are used. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390622