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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013342516
We document the sources behind the costs of job loss over the business cycle using administrative data from Germany. Losses in annual earnings after displacement are large, persistent, and highly cyclical, nearly doubling in size during downturns. A large part of the long-term earnings losses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013426303
Die Schaffung der Europäischen Währungsunion hatte in wissenschaftlichen Kreisen heftigste Kontroversen ausgelöst. Der vorliegende Beitrag unternimmt, dreieinhalb Jahre nach dem Beginn der Währungsunion, eine Bestandsaufnahme der Entwicklungen in den diesbezüglich zugrunde liegenden...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377580
facts observed in the data. First, the land price and the unemployment rate tend to move in opposite directions over the … business cycle. Second, a shock that moves the land price is capable of generating large volatility in unemployment. Our … estimation indicates that a 10 percent drop in the land price leads to a 0.34 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397671
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940730
This paper investigates the importance of labor market institutions for inflation and unemployment dynamics. Using the … Unemployment Rigidities (UR) and those that cause Real Wage Rigidities (RWR). The two types of institutions have opposite effects … and their interaction is crucial for the dynamics of inflation and unemployment. We estimate a panel VAR with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605229
We propose a monetary model in which the unemployed satisfy the official US definition of unemployment: they are people ….e., unemployment is ‘involuntary’). We integrate our model of involuntary unemployment into the simple New Keynesian framework with no … capital and use the resulting model to discuss the concept of the ‘non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment’. We then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605248
n this paper, I analyze the pros and cons of implementing structural reforms of the labor market in booms vs. recessions, in light of considerations of social efficiency, political viability, and macroeconomic fine tuning. While the optimal timing of a reform depends on the relative importance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262615
a latent mortality variable and of unemployment and GDP growth as main business cycle indicators. We find that young … the other age classes between childhood and old age react with lower mortality to increased unemployment or decreased GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263746
average re-employment probabilities. Living in an area with high local unemployment reduces re-employment chances as does … being in a long spell of non-employment. However, the damage associated with being in a long spell seems to be reduced … somewhat if a worker is unemployed in an area with high overall unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268048