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The information content of survey data on expected price developments for monetary policy
Gerberding, Christina - 2001
to medium-run development of consumer prices in Germany, France and Italy. Furthermore, the analysis of the process of …-Verbraucherumfrage ermittelten Daten und die von Consensus Economics erhobenen Expertenprognosen für Deutschland, Frankreich und Italien. Die …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295707
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Index der wahrgenommenen Inflation oder EU-Verbraucherumfragen? Zu einem Ansatz von Hans Wolfgang Brachinger
Hoffmann, Johannes; Leifer, Hans-Albert; Lorenz, Andreas - In: Wirtschaftsdienst 85 (2005) 11, pp. 706-714
Nach der Euro Umstellung Anfang 2002 entwickelte sich das Preisempfinden deutlich anders als der gemessene Verbraucherpreisindex. Inwieweit wird auch heute noch die Preisentwicklung von den Konsumenten überschätzt? Wie zuverlässig misst der von Hans Wolfgang Brachinger entwickelte „Index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303231
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Index of perceived inflation or EU consumer surveys? An assessment of Professor H. W. Brachinger's approach
Hoffmann, Johannes; Leifer, Hans-Albert; Lorenz, Andreas - In: Intereconomics 41 (2006) 3, pp. 142-150
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272142
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Indikatoren zur Wettbewerbsposition der deutschen Wirtschaft - Wie schätzen deutsche Industriefirmen ihre Wettbewerbsposition ein?
Nerb, Gernot - In: ifo Schnelldienst 58 (2005) 13, pp. 41-46
Die deutsche Industrie schätzt ihre Wettbewerbsfähigkeit insgesamt als hoch ein; dies gilt insbesondere für eine Reihe von Produktgruppen des Maschinenbaus und der Elektroindustrie. Zu einem erheblichen Teil dürfte dieses an sich positive Gesamtergebnis durch Teilebezug von ausländischen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011692310
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ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Aufschwung geht langsamer voran
Carstensen, K.; Nierhaus, W.; Abberger, K.; Berg, T. O.; … - In: ifo Schnelldienst 64 (2011) 13, pp. 16-62
zwischen den Ländern des Euroraums erheblich bleiben. In Deutschland hat sich der Aufschwung im vergangenen Winterhalbjahr mit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011693200
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Evaluating the German Inventory Cycle Using Data from the Ifo Business Survey
Knetsch, Thomas A. - 2004
Inventory fluctuations are an important phenomenon in business cycles. However, the preliminary data on inventory investment as published in the German national accounts are tremendously prone to revision and therefore ill-equipped to diagnose the current stance of the inventory cycle. The Ifo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295637
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Evaluating the German inventory cycle : using data from the Ifo business survey
Knetsch, Thomas A. - 2004
Inventory fluctuations are an important phenomenon in business cycles. However, the preliminary data on inventory investment as published in the German national accounts are tremendously prone to revision and therefore ill-equipped to diagnose the current stance of the inventory cycle. The Ifo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261202
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Modeling the dynamics of EU economic sentiment indicators: an interaction-based approach
Ghonghadze, Jaba; Lux, Thomas - 2009
This paper estimates a simple univariate model of expectation or opinion formation in continuous time adapting a 'canonical' stochastic model of collective opinion dynamics (Weidlich and Haag, 1983; Lux, 1995, 2007). This framework is applied to a selected data set on survey-based expectations from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263547
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Rational forecasts or social opinion dynamics? Identification of interaction effects in a business climate survey
Lux, Thomas - 2008
This paper develops a methodology for estimating the parameters of dynamic opinion or expectation formation processes with social interactions. We study a simple stochastic framework of a collective process of opinion formation by a group of agents who face a binary decision problem. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295023
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The ZEW - Creditreform business survey in the business-related services sector : sampling frame, stratification, expansion and results
Kaiser, Ulrich; Kreuter, Markus; Niggemann, Hiltrud - 2000
No other area of the German economy has developed so emphatically in the past ten years as has that business-related services. Regardless of its growing overall economic importance, official statistics fail to provide economic researchers and economic policy with current data on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297685