Showing 1 - 10 of 42
We analyse the interaction between private agents? uncertainty about inflation target and the central bank's data uncertainty. In our model, private agents update their perceived inflation target and the central bank estimates unobservable economic shocks as well as the perceived inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295855
investment was financed via private capital inflows. That said, foreign savings are not a good substitute for domestic savings … over the deficit episode and its aftermath, growth is slower than when countries rely on domestic savings. The paper … concludes that financing growth and investment out of foreign savings, while not impossible, is risky. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011535790
We study how monetary policy and risk shocks affect asset prices in the US, the euro area, and Japan, differentiating …. Communication shocks from the US spill over to risk in the euro area and vice versa, but traditional US shocks show no spillover … effects to risk. Both monetary policy and communication shocks spill over to stocks, with euro area information spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543667
magnitude of tax revenue receipts. A framework is presented for risk management of daily tourist tax revenues for the Maldives … tourist arrivals and their growth rate is analogous to the volatility (or dynamic risk) in financial returns. In this paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312482
Multi-fractal processes have recently been proposed as a new formalism for modelling the time series of returns in finance. The major attraction of these processes is their ability to generate various degrees of long memory in different powers of returns - a feature that has been found in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295106
Multifractal processes have recently been proposed as a new formalism for modelling the time series of returns in insurance. The major attraction of these processes is their ability to generate various degrees of long memory in different powers of returns - a feature that has been found in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295151
Non-coordinated monetary policy is analysed in a stochastic two-country general equilibrium model. Non-coordinated equilibria are compared in two cases: one where policy is set in terms of state-contingent money supply rules and one where policy is set in terms of state-contingent nominal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295630
National accounts data are always revised. Not only recent data, but also figures dating many years back can be revised substantially. This means that there is a danger that an important part of the central bank's information set is flawed for a long period of time. In this paper we present a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295653
We consider the properties of two monetary policy rules ("strict inflation targeting", "constant money growth rule") in an intertemporal equilibrium model with flexible prices in which monetary policy is "active", while fiscal policy is "passive". Specifically, we assume that the fiscal agent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295760
This paper develops a small New Keynesian model with capital accumulation and government debt dynamics. The paper discusses the design of simple monetary and fiscal policy rules consistent with determinate equilibrium dynamics in the absence of Ricardian equivalence. Under this assumption,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295809