Showing 1 - 10 of 79
investigate the volatility smile derived from liquid call and put options on the Polish WIG20 index which option series expired on … volatilities for moneyness points needed were calculated, then we construct 355 smile curves for calls and puts options to study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984997
financial crisis. To this end, we derive risk-neutral densities from the implied volatilities of FX options, which approximate …-of-sample predictive power of indicators. The forecasting results suggest that models based on FX options are inferior to the random walk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322178
, predictable, and options appear calibrated to incorporate information about future jumps in all three markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290353
Recent developments allow a nonparametric separation of the continuous sample path component and the jump component of realized volatility. The jump component has very different time series properties than the continuous component, and accounting for this allows improved forecasting of future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290416
equity index options, despite minimal changes in aggregate consumption. We explain these events within a general equilibrium … individual stock options, equity returns, and interest rates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292171
The volatility information content of stock options for individual firms is measured using option prices for 149 U …, but the option forecasts are nearly always more informative for those firms that have the more actively traded options …. When the prediction horizon extends until the expiry date of the options, the option forecasts are more informative than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302536
This paper presents empirical evidence that the corporate bond market is forward looking with respect to volatility. I use the Merton (1974) model to calculate a measure of implied volatility from corporate bond yield spreads. I find that corporate bond transaction prices contain substantial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604846
currency options are employed to recover the impact of interventions on the variability of exchange rates. A contingent claims … valuation framework allowing to highlight the implications of infrequent interventions for the valuation of options on foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260625
This paper provides empirical evidence that combinations of option implied and time series volatility forecasts that are conditional on current information are statistically superior to individual models, unconditional combinations, and hybrid forecasts. Superior forecasting performance is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322599
In this paper we compare the predictive abilility of Stochastic Volatility (SV)models to that of volatility forecasts implied by option prices. We develop anSV model with implied volatility as an exogeneous var able in the varianceequation which facilitates the use of statistical tests for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324427