Showing 1 - 10 of 92
We use weekly survey data on short-term and medium-term sentiment of German investors in order to study the causal … tri-variate vector autoregression for short-run sentiment, medium-run sentiment and stock index returns allows to reject … medium-run sentiment, or returns form a simultaneous systems together with the two sentiment measures. An out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263537
This paper reconsiders the effect of investor sentiment on stock prices. Using survey-based sentiment indicators from … paper is that we also analyze the immediate price reaction to the publication of sentiment indicators. We find that the sign … consistent with sentiment being related to mispricing but is inconsistent with the alternative explanation that sentiment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308566
We investigate the predictability of both volatility and volume for a large sample of Japanese stocks. The particular emphasis of this paper is on assessing the performance of long memory time series models in comparison to their short-memory counterparts. Since long memory models should have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294979
We investigate the predictability of both volatility and volume for a large sample of Japanese stocks. The particular emphasis of this paper is on assessing the performance of long memory time series models in comparison to their short-memory counterparts. Since long memory models should have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295136
We compared forecasts of stock market volatility based on real-time and revised macroeconomic data. To this end, we used a new dataset on monthly real-time macroeconomic variables for Germany. The dataset covers the period 1994-2005. We used a statistical, a utility-based, and an options-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295909
We consider the problem of ex-ante forecasting conditional correlation patterns using ultra high frequency data. Flexible semiparametric predictors referring to the class of dynamic panel and dynamic factor models are adopted for daily forecasts. The parsimonious set up of our approach allows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296287
This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298059
We examine the performance of volatility models that incorporate features such as long (short) memory, regime-switching and multifractality along with two competing distributional assumptions of the error component, i.e. Normal vs Student-t. Our precise contribution is twofold. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265243
In this paper, we provide new empirical evidence on order submission activity and price impacts of limit orders at NASDAQ. Employing NASDAQ TotalView-ITCH data, we find that market participants dominantly submit limit orders with sizes equal to a round lot. Most limit orders are canceled almost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281582
This paper features the application of a novel and recently developed method of statistical and mathematical analysis to the assessment of financial risk: namely Regular Vine copulas. Dependence modeling using copulas is a popular tool in financial applications, but is usually applied to pairs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326548