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Financial factors in economic fluctuations
Christiano, Lawrence; Rostagno, Massimo; Motto, Roberto - 2010
We augment a standard monetary DSGE model to include a banking sector and financial markets. We fit the model to Euro Area and US data. We find that agency problems in financial contracts, liquidity constraints facing banks and shocks that alter the perception of market risk and hit financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605238
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Output and inflation responses to credit shocks: are there threshold effects in the euro area?
Calza, Alessandro; Sousa, João - 2005
This paper investigates whether output and inflation respond asymmetrically to credit shocks in the euro area. The methodology, based on a non-linear VAR system, follows work by Balke (2000) for the US. The results reveal evidence of threshold effects related to credit conditions in the economy....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604527
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Does government spending crowd in private consumption? Theory and empirical evidence for the euro area
Coenen, Günter; Straub, Roland - 2005
In this paper, we revisit the effects of government spending shocks on private consumption within an estimated New-Keynesian DSGE model of the euro area featuring non-Ricardian households. Employing Bayesian inference methods, we show that the presence of non-Ricardian households is in general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604559
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An estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the euro area
Smets, Frank; Wouters, Raf - 2002
This paper develops and estimates a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with sticky prices and wages for the euro area. The model incorporates various other features such as habit formation, costs of adjustment in capital accumulation and variable capacity utilisation. It is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506557
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The impact of exchange rate shocks on sectoral activity and prices in the euro area
Hahn, Elke - 2007
This paper investigates the impact of exchange rate shocks on sectoral activity and prices in the euro area. Using a VAR framework it provides evidence on the magnitude and speed of the impact of exchange rate shocks on activity in all main euro area sectors and on activity and producer prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604842
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Markov-Switching Procedures for Dating the Euro-Zone Business Cycle
Krolzig, Hans-Martin - In: Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung 70 (2001) 3, pp. 339-351
This paper addresses the issues of identification and dating of the Euro-zone business cycle by using the Markov … growth in the Euro-zone are identified by fitting Markov-switching models to aggregated and single-country Euro-zone real GDP … the smoothed regime probabilities from the Markov-switching models the Euro-zone business cycle is dated and recessions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377542
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Trend and Cycle in the Euro-Area: A Permanent-Transitory Decomposition Using a Cointegrated VAR Model
Schumacher, Christian - In: Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung 70 (2001) 3, pp. 352-363
This paper investigates the Euro-area business cycle using a multivariate autoregressive time series model with cointegration. The cointegration restrictions help to identify permanent and transitory shocks which form the stochastic part of trend and cyclical GDP, respectively. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377551
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Priors from DSGE models for dynamic factor analysis
Bäurle, Gregor - 2008
We propose a method to incorporate information from Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models into Dynamic Factor Analysis. The method combines a procedure previously applied for Bayesian Vector Autoregressions and a Gibbs Sampling approach for Dynamic Factor Models. The factors in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316078
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Investment shocks and business cycles
Justiniano, Alejandro; Primiceri, Giorgio E.; … - 2008
Shocks to the marginal efficiency of investment are the most important drivers of business cycle fluctuations in U.S. output and hours. Moreover, like a textbook demand shock, these disturbances drive prices higher in expansions. We reach these conclusions by estimating a dynamic stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283518
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Investment shocks and the relative price of investment
Justiniano, Alejandro; Primiceri, Giorgio E.; … - 2009
We estimate a New-Neoclassical Synthesis model of the business cycle with two investment shocks. The first, an investment-specific technology shock, affects the transformation of consumption into investment goods and is identified with the relative price of investment. The second shock affects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283523