Inspired by Dornbusch's model of exchange rate overshooting we develop a theory of stock market behaviour. The idea is that stock market prices overshoot and undershoot their long-run equilibrium values which are determined by the development in the real economy. The overshooting is fuelled...

Since July 2007 the world economy has experienced a severe financial crisis originating in the U.S. housing market. The crisis has subsequently spread to the financial sectors in European and Asian economies and led to a severe worldwide recession. The existing literature on financial crises...

Der Lehman-Pleite im Herbst 2008 gingen bereits 2007 Turbulenzen am Geldmarkt voraus. Die EZB hat darauf und auf die immer wiederkehrende Panik an den Finanzmärkten besonnen reagiert. Allerdings wird es schwieriger, die Entwicklungen einzuschätzen, denn das Verhalten der Finanzmärkte lässt...

The ultimate objective of macroprudential policy is to contribute to financial stability by curbing the build-up of systemic risks and alleviating negative outcomes for the economy should risks materialize . Measuring and communicating whether policy goals are achieved is challenging, as...