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Propensity score matching provides an estimate of the effect of a 'treatment' variable on an outcome variable that is … largely free of bias arising from an association between treatment status and observable variables. However, matching methods … undermine the conclusions about causal effects from a matching analysis. Instrumental variables (IV) estimation provides an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010304029
Macroeconomists have long been concerned with the causal effects of monetary policy. When the identification of causal effects is based on a selection-on-observables assumption, non-causality amounts to the conditional independence of outcomes and policy changes. This paper develops a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270625
using matching methods. Because precise estimation of the expected counterfactual is particularly important in regions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276772
Researchers are often interested in estimating the causal effect of some treatment on individual criminality. For example, two recent relatively prominent papers have attempted to estimate the respective direct effects of marriage and gang participation on individual criminal activity. One...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271337
Structural vector-autoregressive models are potentially very useful tools for guiding both macro- and microeconomic policy. In this paper, we present a recently developed method for exploiting non-Gaussianity in the data for estimating such models, with the aim of capturing the causal structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269741
Central banks regularly monitor select financial and macroeconomic variables in order to obtain early indication of the impact of monetary policies. This practice is discussed on the Federal Reserve Bank of New York website, for example, where one particular set of macroeconomic indicators is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282848
This paper presents a systematic empirical relationship between money and subsequent prices and output, using US, euro area and Swiss data since the 1960-70s. Monetary developments, unlike interest rate stance measures, are shown to provide qualitative and quantitative information on subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604802
labor market states. In steady-state, we hence have a theory of equilibrium unemployment determined by both matching … labor force and rises the share of attached workers. Finally, our theory suggests that contrary to two-state models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262607
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011696651
principles, instruments, target groups and governance in Germany, France, the Netherlands, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269141